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ECMWF Data Coming to HazWx

In January 2015, Hazard Notifications was acquired by AccuWeather, Inc., the global leader in digital weather information to media, the public, and business and industry. Through this acquisition process, our team remained determined to continue to refine the way weather model data is viewed and the overall user experience. Our acquisition by AccuWeather, Inc., provided us with a vast data-set and the necessary infrastructure to continue to innovate, improve and revolutionize weather data visualization. For more information on this acquisition, please visit here.

HazWx, our interactive modeling site, quickly became known for incredible graphics, with a first-of-its-kind interface that allows you to interact with the map. It is with great pleasure that we announce the coming addition of ECMWF data to the HazWx interactive modeling website. The ECMWF data is highly regarded in the weather community and we are proud to have the opportunity to visualize this data in our interactive mapping system.

Details regarding the data sets will be available in the coming weeks. At minimum, an impressive display of ECMWF information will be born on HazWx to include data fields such as:

  • Winds and Heights
  • Temperature
  • Velocity and Vorticity
  • Precipitation
  • Convective Parameters
  • Winter Parameters

Additional information will be posted as we work diligently to prepare this data for you! We are excited to provide this superb weather model in our very popular platform!

For more information, and to test our interactive weather maps, please visit here

 

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AccuWeather at the Forefront of Weather Innovation with Acquisition of Hazard Notifications LLC

Global weather leader announces additional category acquisition this month, adding unique, cutting-edge startup to enterprise portfolio.

AccuWeather Global Weather Center – January 29, 2015 – AccuWeather, Inc., the global leader in digital weather information to media, the public, and business and industry, today announced that it has acquired Hazard Notifications LLC, of Norman, Okla., an innovative developer of customized weather forecast modeling and mapping with leading-edge, feature-specific applications integrated across digital platforms.

AccuWeather’s commercial weather-for-business services company, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions, Inc. (AES), will integrate Hazard Notification’s innovative products with its own unique patented technology to enhance the services and offerings that protect people, property, and profits among the most successful enterprises in the world.

“AccuWeather is an innovator in the weather industry, focused on significant, leading advancements to meet the needs of our growing global audience and business partners,” Barry Lee Myers, Chief Executive Officer of AccuWeather, Inc. said. “We will further strengthen our best-in-class capabilities and services with the integration of Hazard Notifications. These are exciting and creative people who have launched a successful startup company that fits neatly into the AccuWeather culture, environment, and technology leadership in weather.”

“We are excited about the new opportunities gained by joining the AccuWeather family,” Brandon Sullivan, Meteorologist & Managing Partner at Hazard Notifications LLC said. “AccuWeather’s meteorological and technical innovations, strategic partnerships, and global following allow us to reach more people than ever before with unique, industry-leading products and communications, impacting more lives on a global scale.”

Hazard Notifications was founded in 2013 with the mission to simplify weather data visualization, making complex weather information more intuitive and actionable for users. Their patented technology advancements, predictive modeling, graphics automation, and mesoscale modeling, combined with AccuWeather’s global reach, established partnerships, and brand leadership, as the trusted source for weather information with Superior Accuracy™, will provide business customers and public users with the best weather information and user experiences available anywhere.

Hazard Notifications operations will be co-located with AccuWeather’s new offices in Edmond, Okla. where WeatherBank, an acquisition announced earlier this week, is located. The Hazard Notifications team will join AccuWeather’s experts in meteorology, graphics and warning systems, and mesoscale modeling. They will be a sister site with the AES Severe Weather Center in Wichita, Kan. and part of the growing AccuWeather physical presence in America’s heartland.

About AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions

Serving over 240 of the Fortune 500 companies and thousands more, AccuWeather Enterprise Solutions – the commercial weather services division of AccuWeather, Inc. – delivers mission-critical weather-driven enterprise solutions to assist businesses, government, media, and institutions, protecting people, property, and profits worldwide. AccuWeather enterprise products and services include the most accurate, site-specific and customized severe weather warnings, short- and long-range forecasts, legal forensics, and weather-triggered analytics, providing actionable insights from the world’s largest weather media company.

Visit www.AccuWeather.com/EnterpriseSolutions for more information.

About AccuWeather, Inc. and AccuWeather.com

Every day over a billion people worldwide rely on AccuWeather to help them plan their lives, protect their businesses, and get more from their day. AccuWeather provides hourly and Minute by Minute™ forecasts with Superior Accuracy™ with customized content and engaging video presentations available on smart phones, tablets, free wired and mobile Internet sites, connected TVs, and Internet appliances, as well as via radio, television, and newspapers. Founded in 1962 by Dr. Joel N. Myers – a Fellow of the American Meteorological Society who was recognized as one of the top entrepreneurs in American history by Entrepreneur Magazine’s Encyclopedia of Entrepreneurs – AccuWeather also delivers a wide range of highly-customized enterprise solutions to media, business, government, and institutions, as well as news, weather content, and video for more than 180,000 third-party websites. AccuWeather’s CEO, Barry Lee Myers, is an award winning leader in global weather information issues and one of the world’s most recognized advocates for cooperative relationships between government weather agencies and the weather industry. He is a leader in the digital weather information space.

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Winter Storm Ongoing

A winter storm is already ongoing across the far southern plains and is expected to continue impacting portions of the southern plains, upper Midwest and Great Lakes in the next few days. A number of advisories and warnings are already posted, with more expected in the coming hours.

One main story is the potential for significant ice accumulations with this storm. The latest models are trending higher with potential ice amounts. Temperatures through the atmosphere will be critical to the exact outcome of this event, so changes are certainly possible.

Here is an image from the NAM4, a high resolution model that goes out to 60 hours and runs 4 times per day across the United States.

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This image is from the latest NAM12.. A lower resolution model that also runs 4 times per day across the US. It is not able to resolve finer details, but in general shows a swath of heavy ice accumulation in the same corridor.

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Outside of this band of potential icing, there is the potential for snowfall accumulation… While snowfall amounts do not look to be significant, 3-5 inches will be possible over a rather large area of the central US. snow1

 

For a broader picture, you can see the system in a whole, delivering the area of snowfall, with areas of rain across the Ohio Valley.

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Black Friday/Cyber Monday Sales!

Weather information is valuable and we want you using our site to get it! In the spirit of the holiday shopping season, we are bringing out some huge savings for new customers on our HazWx.com weather map site!

Unlock these savings by using coupon code “blackfriday” at checkout! Only the first 250 customers get these special rates! The coupon is valid from Midnight CST Friday Nov 28 through Midnight CST Tuesday Dec 2.

 

Month to Month Plan: Normally $10/mo —> $5/mo for first 3 months!

Six Month Plan: Normally $50/6 mo —> $25/first 6 months!

One Year Plan: Normally $100/yr —> $65/first year!

Total Access & Custom Branding: Normally $240/yr —> $90/first year! 

Read More About Custom Branding Options

 

 

Terms and Conditions

These discounts are for new customers only. If you are a current customer and wish to upgrade to a plan with a longer commitment, you may cancel your current subscription, then switch to one of the above plans! All plans resume their normal price after one billing cycle, except the month to month plan, which offers 3 billing cycles (3 months) at the discounted rate. Coupon only valid during times mentioned in this post. Coupon only valid for the first 250 customers.

NWS Snowfall Forecast

Accumulating Snow Coming for North Carolina/Virginia

The higher elevations of North Carolina and Virginia are looking at their first round of winter precip in a long while. Winter Storm Warnings have been posted for the areas in pink with Winter Weather Advisories in the areas outlined in purple. Snowfall will be highly dependent on the elevation, since lower elevations still have warm ground temperatures. All forecast model images are from HazWx Interactive Weather Mapping Site

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM FRIDAY TO 8 PM SATURDAY...
THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN MORRISTOWN HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT FROM 8 PM FRIDAY
TO 8 PM SATURDAY.
* EVENT...SNOWFALL ACCUMULATIONS BETWEEN 4 AND 8 INCHES ARE
  EXPECTED FOR MOST LOCATIONS ABOVE 2500 FEET. LOCALLY HIGHER
  AMOUNTS UP TO A FOOT OR MORE WILL BE POSSIBLE ACROSS THE HIGHEST
  PEAKS ABOVE 5000 FEET. ELEVATIONS BELOW 2500 FEET SHOULD RECEIVE
  BETWEEN 1 AND 4 INCHES.
* TIMING...RAIN WILL INITIALLY CHANGE TO SNOW FRIDAY EVENING OVER
  THE HIGHER ELEVATIONS...WITH THE SNOW LEVEL LOWERING DOWN INTO
  VALLEY LOCATIONS AFTER MIDNIGHT. SNOW SHOWERS WILL LIKELY
  CONTINUE THROUGH SATURDAY ACROSS HIGHER ELEVATIONS...BEFORE
  DIMINISHING SATURDAY EVENING.
* IMPACTS...TRAVEL IS EXPECTED TO BECOME HAZARDOUS ON ROADS ACROSS
  THE HIGHER TERRAIN OF SOUTHWEST VIRGINIA AND EAST TENNESSEE.
  DOWNED TREES WILL BE POSSIBLE DUE TO THE SNOW ACCUMULATING ON
  FOLIAGE STILL LEFT ON MANY TREES. TRAVEL IS DISCOURAGED.
Watch/Warning Summary as of 330PM 10/30/14

Watch/Warning Summary as of 330PM 10/30/14

NWS Snowfall Forecast

NWS Snowfall Forecast

3 Hour Precip Fri Eve

3 Hour Precip Fri Eve

Expected Snow Accumulation

Expected Snow Accumulation

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Near Ground Temperatures Saturday Afternoon

BAM WRF Domain

Custom WRF Solutions

Our company has shown its forte in superior forecast modeling accuracy and versatility. We offer custom WRF solutions for any need. Various consulting firms utilize this service to provide accurate and detailed information to their clients.

What exactly do our Custom WRF clients receive?

  • Custom model domain centered over area of interest
  • Up to 4x per day update cycle
  • Full suite of severe weather, winter weather and general parameters
  • 15 minute data output
  • Custom model name
  • Custom station readout locations
  • Custom color schemes
  • Access to RAW GRIB files for integration into media solutions
  • Access to text output files
  • Expert meteorologist support for fine tuning
  • Free access to our “Total Access and Custom Branding Package” at HazWx ($240 Value)

To inquire about our custom WRF solutions, please contact us.

Here is an example of a domain for one of our consultation clients in Indianapolis, IN.

BAM WRF Domain

BAM WRF Domain

 

Forecast Radar - 6PM Monday

Late Season Severe Weather Outbreak – Mississippi/Tennessee River Valleys

A late season, but significant severe weather outbreak is becoming increasingly likely tomorrow across portions of the Mississippi/Tennessee River Valleys. Starting this evening, a powerful squall line will develop in Western Oklahoma and begin to move east overnight. As it does, increasing moisture and instability will develop ahead of the line, allowing for the severe weather threat to grow overnight. Very impressive wind speeds above the ground will allow for damaging wind gusts with this line. In addition, strong low level shear also raises the possibility of tornadoes, some of which could be strong, especially tomorrow afternoon across the areas outlined below.

As we often do in significant severe weather events, we have our high resolution model ready to go. This model will be floating over the areas of greatest concern and will be forecasting the potential of severe weather in high detail. You can click on the images below to view the raw data for yourselves on our powerful Google Maps interface. All of the maps below and additional weather maps are available at HazWx – Our interactive weather maps engine!

Upper Level Winds + SPC Day 2 Outlook

Upper Level Winds + SPC Day 2 Outlook

Forecast Radar - 6PM Monday

Forecast Radar – 6PM Monday

0-3 km Energy Helicity Index

0-3 km Energy Helicity Index

Forecast Sounding for NW Mississippi

Forecast Sounding for Northern Mississippi – 5PM

192 hour rainfall forecast from the 10/8 00z GFS (Global Forecast System)

Heavy Rainfall Eyeing the Nation’s Midsection

A stalled frontal boundary and abundant moisture, aided by a remnant tropical system, will set the stage for more heavy rainfall across the central US into this weekend. Next week, another large piece of energy is forecast to dive into the central plains then eject northeastward, bringing widespread rainfall to much of the central and eastern US.

Here is a variety of maps depicting important features for the next week. Each image contains a description in the caption. These images all came from our powerful weather forecast maps engine, which allows you to overlay weather data onto Google Maps, allowing you to zoom into high detail and look at data around the country! You can view more about our maps here!

A stalled frontal boundary will be the focus for showers and thunderstorms

A stalled frontal boundary will be the focus for showers and thunderstorms

84 rainfall forecast from the 10/8 12z NAM (North American Model)

84 rainfall forecast from the 10/8 12z NAM (North American Model)

Trough digging into the central US

Trough digging into the central US

The piece of energy responsible for the rainfall next week

The piece of energy responsible for the rainfall next week

Precipitable water map shows moisture ahead of the incoming piece of energy

Precipitable water map shows moisture ahead of the incoming piece of energy

192 hour rainfall forecast from the 10/8 00z GFS (Global Forecast System)

192 hour rainfall forecast from the 10/8 00z GFS (Global Forecast System)

 

 

 

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If Super Typhoon Vongfong were to Impact Chicago…

We ran the HazWRF3, our own high resolution, movable, scale-able forecast model, over the strongest cyclone of 2014 – Super Typoon Vongfong… Vongfong is in the Philippine Sea, and is expected to move toward Japan later this week… When these storms are out in the ocean, they are often hard to size up… Well, for illustration purposes, we plotted our model forecast of the storm, centered over Chicago, to give an idea of just how large of an area it would cover!  Imagine a storm of this caliber, with peak wind speeds near 175 mph, impacting such an area!

Right now, Vongfong is now equivalent to a category 5 hurricane with sustained winds of 288 kph (180 mph) and gusts approaching 354 kph (220 mph).

Again, the actual Typhoon is expected to impact the Japan area and is not impacting Chicago. The image is for illustration purposes.

This image was made to scale-

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Vongfong Track

Vongfong Track

For more information about our high resolution WRF model, click here.

 

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A new era of WRF modeling

At Hazard Notifications, one thing we have prided ourselves on is our brilliant staff who continue to push the limits of advanced atmospheric modeling every day. Over the past month, our staff has continued to develop and improve on our 3D VAR technology. This allows us to import more than a 1/2 million observations worldwide, level 2 radar, satellite observations and more. These data go into the model to offer a precise prediction of future conditions.

We are now working to expand into the realm of 4D VAR, the same technology implemented by the ECMWF model, which is known for its precision. This method assimilates ~12 million obs, while updating 80 million state variables each analysis. Being able to utilize these methods in the WRF would create an invaluable model that would be useful for an incredibly wide range of applications.

In simpler terms, our research team continues to seek ways to improve our technology. These efforts are further encouraged by positive words from our current customers. Below are a few images that come to us from BAM Chase LLC, a weather consulting company from Indiana.  While always impressed, recently they took the time to send us some images from the model’s exceptional performance. You can also view a previous analysis of our WRF in a variety of scenarios.

In addition to developing superior forecasting techniques, we also continuously work on forecast products. Such as our proprietary hail, snow load and ice load algorithms. Beyond that, using machine learning techniques, we can provide advanced financial loss predictions, power outage predictions and much more.

 

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Analyzed Radar (Wed Sept 10 1815z)

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Forecast Radar (Wed Sept 10 1815z)